Thurrsday, 26 Novemberr 2009 BETA SECURITIES SA Member of the Athens Stock Exchange
Market Comment General Index slumped 2.3% yesterday as Greek banks shares fell as much as 7%, on worries over funding and a weak economy. Eurobank lost 2.51% closing at €8.92 with 3.9m shares traded. NBG ended 3.51% lower at €22 with 6m shares traded. Bank of Piraeus closed at €9.48, posting a 7.06% decrease with 4.3m shares traded. On the contrary, OPAP advanced 0.22% at €16.50 with 2m shares traded. Trading volume reached €446.6m.
Greek Macro Worries about the impact of a gradual phasing out of liquidity support measures and the economic crisis on Greek banks are overdone, the chief executive NBG said on Wednesday. We should see the measures banks have already taken in cooperation with the Bank of Greece, to shield their capital adequacy and create liquidity reserves, to promptly replace whatever liquidity has been raised from the ECB.
Corporate PPC / Greece has directed state-controlled Public Power Corp to revise its 13 billion euro investment plan to raise its renewable energy output. The government will soon unveil a draft roadmap for the country to produce a fifth of its energy from clean sources by 2020. Greece currently produces just over 3 percent of its energy from wind and solar power. In order for Greece to meet this objective, PPC will need to revise upwards a current target for a total 1,000 megawatts of renewable energy projects by 2014, according to the minister.
Results TITAN/ Titan announced a mixed set of 9M09 financial results. Turnover decreased by 12% to €1,046m. Consensus estimates were expecting sales at €1,052.1m. Excluding FX, turnover decreased by 11.6% y-o-y and excluding FX and acquisitions, the decline y-o-y was 17.2%. EBITDA decreased by 11.4% y-o-y to 258m. That was above market estimates for €248.7m. Excluding FX and acquisitions, decline y-o-y was 16.6%. Net profit after tax and minority interest came in down by 36.5% y-o-y, to €103.7m above market estimates for net profits at €94.1m. Note that the decline based on H109 figures was 48%. Cement volumes declined in all regions, except Eastern Mediterranean. The results were positively affected by the Dollar and Egyptian Pound appreciation versus the Euro. The Group’s performance was negatively affected by the lasting, deep crisis of the construction sector in the USA, the continuing decline of demand for building materials in Greece and the downturn of markets in Southeastern Europe. This was only partially offset by the significant growth of the Egyptian market. Results were adversely affected by increased financial expenses, due to higher debt levels and increased depreciation charges, further to the Group’s expansionary investments in 2008. Furthermore, the positive one-off tax impact of € 16m. which the Group recorded in 2008, affected the basis of comparison with the same period in 2009. Titan will focus on generating positive cash flow by containing costs, reducing working capital needs and managing liquidity prudently.
OUTLOOK FOR THE REMAINING OF 2009 • Market trends not expected to change materially in the balance of the year • Demand in Greece will keep declining • US remains challenging; PCA revised 2009 forecast downwards to -27% • In SEE, decline of demand is expected to continue • Market growth in Egypt is sustained throughout the year • Ramp-up production in the new line in Egypt; progress of new plant in Albania • Prices move broadly stable • Maintain focus on cost cutting and positive free cash flow • Lower fuel costs start improving profitability as of Q3 2009
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